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by xrctl 4517 days ago
That women of lose more than expected when they play against men of equivalent rating is entirely consistent with regression towards the mean [1].

Because elo ratings contain error and men are on average better at chess [2], the average true value that elo ratings are trying to measure will be lower for women than men at equivalent elo ratings.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_toward_the_mean

[2] About 1 SD, http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/277/1692/2269...