[gwern]

It's actually particularly relevant because someone seem to be making a serious effort at one using, naturally, Bitcoin: Sanjuro's "Assassination Market" (see http://www.gwern.net/Silk%20Road#future-developments for details).

It's hard to tell if AM's a scam or not by the nature of assassination markets, which turns out to be an interesting observation, IMO - it never occurred to me, reading the original speculations, that assassination markets would be so much harder to bootstrap than drug markets like Silk Road.

[mike_esspe]

Jim Bell gave a straightforward way to bootstrap - start with ordinary prediction market and gain trust.

And that is probably why we won't get them, practically nobody will risk their profit from legal service by turning them into assasination market.