[chaz]

An alternate opinion: Facebook is heading toward the Trough of Disillusionment of the Hype Cycle: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hype_cycle

Facebook was so ridiculously hot a few years ago that it couldn't possibly have met all of its expectations for changing how we all communicate, replacing all other messaging mediums, dominating how we shop and buy, the portal for all things entertainment, etc.

> Teens likely see Facebook the same way the Facebook generation sees LinkedIn – like a utilitarian place to manage connections.

This sounds a lot like the Plateau of Productivity to me.

[Theodores]

Weirdly the Google 'trends' graph correlates if you click on the 'forecast' button:

http://www.google.co.uk/trends/explore#q=%2Fm%2F02y1vz%2C%20...

However, a forecast is just a forecast, not happened yet. The 'trend' graph spikes with the IPO which had no relevance for 99% of Facebook users. Take that spike out, ignore the 'forecast' and Facebook is doing the 'myspace curve' and in a similar time frame.

Anyway, where is the Facebook login for Hacker News?

[Gustomaximus]

I got GB region only from your link. The worldwide view shows ongoing growth: http://bit.ly/1dIbkpF

[technotony]

Yeah, plateau of productivity is when 20-30% of people have adopted. Globally Facebook is probably at that point: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hype-Cycle-General.png