Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by simplefish 4570 days ago
I'm confused by the way you say something is "technically" true, then claim you believe it isn not true. Are you really saying that you believe things you know aren't true?

> How much is this currency supposed to be worth?

Whatever we agree it to be worth.

> According to this argument, any number is potentially valid!

Yep. And the value of US dollars, for example, has changed hugely.

> This means that there is absolutely nothing that should hold the value of the currency fixed

Accurate. Note the demise of fixed exchange rate regimes.

> Not true! If the exchange rate of the dollar decreases, you'll see the Federal Reserve will start trading some of its goodies from Fort Knox (gold, etc.) for US Dollars, in order to maintain the dollar's exchange rate/value.

That's not how the Federal Reserve works. Nor exchange rates. Nor US dollars. There's so many errors packed into that sentence, I'm not sure where to begin. There was a time when US dollars were backed by gold, including the gold in Fort Knox; this is no longer the case. And while the Fed does intervene in the markets from time to time, that's not how they do it. Further, the mere fact that interventions are necessary underscores just how arbitrary the valuation is. If, as you argue, USD were backed by gold, the aggregate value of all USD would be US gold reserves; no intervention would be possible, and selling gold reserves would actually lower the value of the dollar. Think about the implications of your argument.

1 comments

Yes, what I described is not actually how the Federal Reserve works. I was trying to give the essence of what it does in a single sentence.

The USD is not literally backed by gold, but part of the Federal Reserve's mission is to moderate the rate of inflation; that means holding the value of the USD steady. And the way they do it is beyond the scope of this discussion, but it certainly depends on the Federal Reserve trading its holdings on the market (which, as you point out, is mainly debt (in terms of USD), not gold).

You write as if the Federal Reserve is like a benevolent uncle, just doing its best for us, all of us, so we may live long and prosper!

The Federal Reserve is a privately owned entity, it has its stash of gold in New York and the actual government has its smaller stash of gold in Fort Knox.

Think of it like this:

Let's say that Apple sees the price of its stock drop to something that it thinks is unreasonably low. They may choose to spend some of their cash on hand to buy back some of their stock. This is a wise investment that shareholders would applaud - Apple is getting a good deal.

Same deal with the Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve notes are nominally liabilities for the Fed, and are much like the concept of Apple stock. If the Fed notices the price of the dollar drops, it's in their best interest to trade some of their holdings to buy back some dollars.