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by kbutler 4586 days ago
"If anything doesn’t feel right, or just to make (3) more careful, use low-level counters to make sure that the amount of instructions executed and other such details makes sense given (2)."

This is explicit support for confirmation bias.

See Feynman's discussion of measuring the charge of the electron in Cargo Cult Science:

"Why didn't they discover the new number was higher right away? It's a thing that scientists are ashamed of—this history—because it's apparent that people did things like this: When they got a number that was too high above Millikan's, they thought something must be wrong—and they would look for and find a reason why something might be wrong. When they got a number close to Millikan's value they didn't look so hard. And so they eliminated the numbers that were too far off, and did other things like that..."

http://neurotheory.columbia.edu/~ken/cargo_cult.html

2 comments

And as an alternative, would you suggest laboriously using low level counters to verify that every measurement you think is correct is indeed correct? Given finite resources, what's a better approach than concentrating on the apparent anomalous measurements? I'm not sure I see the parallel.
it was funny you felt the need to post your wisdom both here and under the actual post.