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by baddox 4584 days ago
Generally, and especially with science, the way things work is that you prove something before believing it.
2 comments

This is oversimplified. In many cases, it is the conjunction of a reasonably strong prior belief and the absence of preexisting "proof" that motivates a scientist (or mathematician) to try to prove something in the first place.

The key is to perform proper Bayesian updates in the face of evidence in either direction; if you do, as long as your prior wasn't totally insane it doesn't really matter where you started.

Thankfully for us, business isn't science.