Because the chance that Bitcoin will go down from here and will never become worth more than it's worth now is 50%? Sorry, but your comment is just bullcrap.
That wasn't my claim, as others have already stated. It's really way off base from what I actually did say. FWIW, I do think though, there is a better than 50% chance that in one year from now BTC will be worth less than todays price.
Not to mention that your argument is semantically false because 1 million years from now I can guarantee you that Bitcoin won't be around.