Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by trts 4614 days ago
Even though it's deflationary, I don't see that as necessarily a problem since it is infinitely divisible, which fiat currency is not. It may just take time for people to start thinking in hundredths and thousandths instead of hundreds and thousands. If Bitcoin becomes less volatile in the future and deflates at a predictable rate, then I could see it being used more as currency.

Interesting to think of the reverse of "when I was a kid, a Snickers bar only cost 5 cents," e.g. "what I just paid for my new Macbook only bought me a pair of shoes ten years ago."

2 comments

Deflation, meet downward rigidity of wages (and other prices).

Basically, the problem with deflation is that everybody who has only one (or very few) income stream, but at the same time many expenditure streams (especially fixed contract expenditure streams) is going to fight very hard against reduction in that income stream.

And empirical data suggests that that fight tends to be fairly successful, too. This is why deflation is poison for economic activity.

And empirical data suggests that that fight tends to be fairly successful, too. This is why deflation is poison for economic activity.

I suspect that demanding constantly increasing income would be rather less successful if the system weren't rigged to make expenses never decrease.

The empirical data is not about constantly increasing income. It's about a number of things, but the most striking is that in a deflationary environment, wage (and other price) changes have an abnormally large peak at a change of zero; this peak does not fit into any simple assumption about how price changes should be distributed (in particular, it is clearly not a normally distributed effect).
It's a lot easier to give someone a raise than to cut someone's salary, even after explaining them all about how 1 bitcoin is worth more now than when he or she started working for you.