[jere]

Folks, it's an analogy. An analogy compares two different things... trust me, I know they're different and I know in which ways.

All I was saying is common sense doesn't get you far in the Monty Hall problem. It really doesn't:

>[Vos Savant] received thousands of letters from her readers; 92% of the general public, 65% of universities, and many with PhDs, were against her answer.

Thus, it's kind of silly to say we're wasting time by going past a common sense analysis of something. It's also revisionist to say common sense does help you solve Monty Hall.

[olalonde]

Sorry for misunderstanding you. I guess I lacked a bit of common sense...

[thatthatis]

The montey hall problem can be restated in a way that makes it amenable to common sense. Door A or (Door B and Door C).

Or, restate the problem with 100 doors.

I'm not sure every problem like this one can be reduced to a common sense analog, but I'm suspect of problems that can't be.