Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by ronilan 4672 days ago
> Try one thousand things that you have a 0.01% chance of succeeding in, and in the end you will accomplish one incredible thing.

This is false.

2 comments

Came here to say this. Funny to find that in a post called "things I know that it seems like nobody else gets ".

Keep in mind it's not the point of the article though (which is interesting if a bit bland - I mean you should know most of this).

btw. he says 0.1% not 0.01%

If you try things that have 0.1% change one after another, the change of succeeding has binomial distribution. The probability that you get at least one success is just 63%

> btw. he says 0.1% not 0.01%

it was originally posted as 0.01%.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache%3Ahttp%...