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by zygomega
4749 days ago
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I hope you're right! Cory Doctorow suggests the main problem for writers is obscurity not intellectual property theft and I think the same can be said about about traders. By the time we get successful enough for people to take notice so that the weight of money destroys the initial edge,, well I think that's a pretty happy place to find yourself. The trick is to find the next edge by then.
What we're really banking on is that an open-source approach can obtain results way beyond what you can do initially in walled-off closed-minded intellectual property cubby holes. And then, that the economics of being involved in the open-source project contnue to be biased towards collaboration as opposed to cutting and running with a snapshot. The value isn't in the code - it's in the process that produces and continues to innovate the code. |
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Every HFT outfit has someone on the lookout for these kind of ideas. When this system is found, every idea in a commit in an obscure branch is going to be quickly reviewed, tested inside that outfit's backtest system (which likely has years of microsecond stamped tick data to test on, and a 1000-core strong compute cluster to do that quickly), and if it has merit -- applied before you have a chance to test it in trading yourself.
Your own success in trading this system is not required (and in fact, unlikely, even if you implement things that would work if done in a non-public way).
I'm not trying to get you not to do it - on the contrary, I love to follow interesting ideas in the field even though I'm not in it anymore. I'm just trying to give my sober, experienced, point of view - if you want it to succeed, this particular thing has to be closed source - you should only commit to public git after your edge has waned....