[abraininavat]

Gut feeling precedes logic. I know when things are right, I don’t know how or why I know, but the explanation of why things are right often comes weeks or years later. Malcolm Gladwell in his book Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking talks about this. Experts in a particular field can often instantly know that something is right, but they can’t explain why.

Funny, no one talks about the other phenomenon. The one where experts think things are right and then they turn out not to have been. I guess that phenomenon just isn't as interesting.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherry_picking_(fallacy)

[saraid216]

Really? I hear about confirmation bias and cherry-picking far more often than I do about expert intuition. I don't even know what the common name is for the latter phenomenon.

[abraininavat]

I think you missed the point. I wasn't offering confirmation bias+cherry-picking as an interesting phenomenon alongside "expert intuition." I was suggesting that the latter is nothing more than a manifestation of the former.