Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by adolgert 4774 days ago
Statistics would help us believe this article. Are they quoting 196% variance over the mean? What does it mean to be 4.5 times smaller? Even the basics are amiss here. There are a lot of conclusions from just two examples of highly complex dynamical systems. The authors poked around and thought a lot, and we know that unfortunately isn't enough to say something believable.
1 comments

They explained what they meant by variation in point #3. We quantified this variation by first calculating the standard deviation of the daily sharing rate (i.e. how much sharing levels varied day by day), then dividing by the mean to give us the coefficient of variation.
Ah, I missed their explanation. The 196% and 338% are still bizarrely high figures, given that the variance of a Poisson distribution equals the mean. 338% variance, and you don't ask what kind of distribution you're measuring?