[zsch]

I understand where you're coming from. My friend's statistics teacher said that if a flipped coin results in 5 heads, it doesn't owe you a tails – this seems to support the gambler's fallacy. Though looking at something like running: say I run the first mile in a race in 7 minutes. Odds are the next mile will be a bit slower given I'm bad at pacing myself and I'm now tired. This is an extreme example, but I've been trying to look at baseball with this approach, that prior games influence the outcome of the next game. And I know that I am simplifying my prediction by just accounting for streaks. I would love to lengthen the script to look at factors like how much the team has won/lost by, who's on the lineup, where the game is (home versus away), etc.

But at its least this was good coding practice.

[gfunk911]

This is like saying I've accounted for the phase of the moon when predicting my productivity, but in the future I'd like to account for how much sleep I got and whether I've been eating right and exercising.