You do realize that if the current global temperature trends continue for another 2 years every global warming model will fall outside the 95% confidence interval (ie, wrong).
You're missing the point. You're conflating 2 ideas:
1) science is so much better and verifiable ! (this is for atheist versus religious people discussions ONLY)
2) when I actually verify $scientific_theory it doesn't stand up to scrutiny (this is for discussions against farmaceutical companies denying that they understood the effects of a drug 40 years ago EXCLUSIVELY)
3) Oh my god we're all going to die because some grad student claims it's once again a lot worse ! (this is for climate change discussions)
You see your mistake ? The world is massively invested in climate disaster theory being right. We've got 20 years of treaties, massive infrastructure dependant on it. Lots of important people getting elected, getting cushy jobs, getting ... and you're just saying that looking at the numbers it doesn't work out. Then you're giving people 2 options :
a) global warming is true and yet worse still and man-made and ... ! ($10 billion "well spent" by politicians on their friends)
b) global warming ... is a natural phenomenon that just starts and ends, humans or not, policies or no policies ! $10 billion bribery scandal ! Fire them all !
You're asking loads of people to acknowledge they've been stupid for decades. Many of them (esp. the grad students) have never known any other way of doing things ... good luck with that.
Get on the bandwagon. Find some vaguely reasonable excuse for people to pay you millions (think Solyndra) because "we're all going to die of global warming ! More money !". You'll have much more success, because the whole house of cards depends on having ever more people on the payroll. If you're loud enough, they'll have to include you too.
1) science is so much better and verifiable ! (this is for atheist versus religious people discussions ONLY)
2) when I actually verify $scientific_theory it doesn't stand up to scrutiny (this is for discussions against farmaceutical companies denying that they understood the effects of a drug 40 years ago EXCLUSIVELY)
3) Oh my god we're all going to die because some grad student claims it's once again a lot worse ! (this is for climate change discussions)
You see your mistake ? The world is massively invested in climate disaster theory being right. We've got 20 years of treaties, massive infrastructure dependant on it. Lots of important people getting elected, getting cushy jobs, getting ... and you're just saying that looking at the numbers it doesn't work out. Then you're giving people 2 options :
a) global warming is true and yet worse still and man-made and ... ! ($10 billion "well spent" by politicians on their friends)
b) global warming ... is a natural phenomenon that just starts and ends, humans or not, policies or no policies ! $10 billion bribery scandal ! Fire them all !
You're asking loads of people to acknowledge they've been stupid for decades. Many of them (esp. the grad students) have never known any other way of doing things ... good luck with that.
Get on the bandwagon. Find some vaguely reasonable excuse for people to pay you millions (think Solyndra) because "we're all going to die of global warming ! More money !". You'll have much more success, because the whole house of cards depends on having ever more people on the payroll. If you're loud enough, they'll have to include you too.