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by dualogy 4805 days ago
A national currency being used as the international reserve and trade settlement currency affords the US quite a few unique perks, doesn't it? And has so for decades, indeed.

The USD being the international "yardstick" other currencies are measured in, "valued" against allows for a surprisingly large trade deficit. Why have inflation at home when you can just "export" your fresh paper for real goods the world over?

This is not lost to the rest of the world, but for the sake of the lesser evil they've played along as necessary. All the while creating a new supranational currency (EUR) and central banks the world over turning into net gold buyers.

I agree, the US should milk this situation for all it's worth while it lasts, which is incidentally exactly what they've been doing for the last few decades.

Global US debt is not a worry to them as it's denominated in the same currency that the US can "print" (to use the simplified wording here).

Austerity (delevering) is not a worry, they'll rather buy failing debts with more freshly produced notes --- this way, no one loses their "savings" in nominal terms, no cascading defaults etc.

Shouldn't this lead to (hyper)inflation? Not as fast as you might think --- if/as long as the rest of the world still takes them as viable reserves and for settling international trade..

1 comments

If the EUR is the replacement people have in mind for the USD America is safe for a long time.
You will think much about this :)

I don't think the EUR is designed as a competitor or alternative "equivalent" to the USD. Rather, it is a "readily available" option --differing in a few substantial aspects (rather than outright mimic USD)-- for anyone, anywhere to consider at their own pace.

Even if "they" wanted to, they couldn't just, as in the past, once again "compel" the world to use their national currency for your reserves and trade-settling, then remove the backing, break promises and debase and inflate for 4 decades straight. No one would fall for it again, nor is it really desirable anyway for any productive (say, net-exporting) country.