[skcin7]

I haven't thought about this as much as you, but I see the recent increase in Bitcoin's value related to the recent rise of gold value - people are starting to lose faith in the USD and wanting to put their money somewhere else. Gold has been sharply increasing in value since 2001: http://i.imgur.com/PTyNacP.png

I do remember that there was a Bitcoin crash around November 2011, though, so maybe you are right that it will happen again.