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by gelisam 4841 days ago
The way in which ties are resolved is very important. I had assumed that in case of a tie, neither player won the bidding war, so they had to bet again. Under that interpretation, the worst case is that O always bets the same as X, trapping the game into a non-productive sequence of tied bids. The only way to avoid this is to always bet more than O can possibly bet, which means we need more than 300.

Fortunately, Gil Kalai has added in the comments that tied bids are resolved with coin flips, so if you can find a winning strategy in both sub-trees, ties are fine.