| It's when stories and comments like this come out that I realize just how alien America is sometimes. Most of this comment is nonsense. But many of you can't see that because you're American. It's quite obviously nonsense when you're outside America. On THIS issue, your politicians are absolutely nuts, your citizens are absolutely nuts. We can all tell it is utter nonsense because you can look at all the other countries in the world that don't have these weird mass murders at anywhere near the frequency per capita. All of them have violent video games. Few of them have massive gun cultures. Yet Americans are seriously debating this. It's like some crazy countrywide delusion. But it's not just your gun culture, it's something else. Who knows what part of the American psyche causes it. Perhaps it's the dark-side of the American dream. You have massive homicide rates compared to the rest of the stable developed world. When it comes to murder you're a backwards country. You're down there with Belarus and Georgia. That's really, really weird. And it's not video games. Or we'd all be joining you. So it's not really very complex at all. It's got nothing to do with video games. |
But then I made the mistake of posting my views on Usenet. Unlike most people on either side of these arguments, I actually followed up on the deluge of references I got in return from both sides. And did my best to create an informed opinion for myself. Here are some basic points off of the top of my head from what I have learned over the following two decades.
- Gun ownership and gun violence are nothing like linearly correlated. For example Canada has a third the guns/capita that the USA does, and a fifth the gun violence.
- The USA's violence problems are tied closely to racial problems. Over half of homicides are committed by blacks, and over half of the remainder by hispanics, despite the fact that there are more whites than either of those other racial groups. I just ran across a reference that I'm not sure is trustworthy indicating the the homicide rate among US whites is actually 0.32 per 100,000. If true then that is down with Singapore and Iceland - and is under half of most European countries.
- When two areas have easy transport between them, the one with more restrictive gun rules tends to experience worse gun problems tied to crime.
- There is some evidence that removing guns increases levels of violent crime, but reduces odds of death during that crime. Whether you consider this an improvement is likely to depend on your politics.
- I've seen and found believable (but have not researched) the claim that in the short term after a major gun ban, the use of guns in crime actually goes up. (It is believable because criminals still have their guns, and have less fear about using them.)
- No matter what the truth is, there is no way in the US system that we actually could ban guns. It would require changing the Constitution in a way that most Americans do not like.