[johnfuller]

Some issues I have with this article is that he is projecting the future of automation taking over lots of jobs but he isn't doing much deep digging outside of that theme.

He mentions that eventually all programming jobs will be outsourced to India because Indian developers cost 1/10 of what U.S. programmers cost. But the cost of labor is controlled by supply and demand. Programmers in the U.S. cost more because demand keeps those costs high. If the demand goes up in India and lowers in the U.S. then the gap will close, especially if unemployment is 50% in the U.S.

High value will always be high in demand. "A" players will always be able to command a premium over "B" players, no matter where they are located. So, U.S.developers will have to keep moving up the value chain.

Employment may change to such a degree by 2040 that the idea of a job may no longer exist. Currently the system of K - 12 to college to job is an institution which will have to change in such a world. When this institution fades, then people will adapt and figure out a way to add value to the world. That's how we arrive to this world in the first place, and we won't stop progressing when robots take over 50% of the jobs that we have today.

Add value and money will come. That's true today and will be true in the future. Only the structures in which we deliver that value will change.