We'll never have fewer open-weight models than exist now. They won't suddenly disappear when labs stop publishing new ones. In fact, people will keep improving them and will keep distilling new frontier models into existing open-weight models.
My conspiracy theory is that this is the new space race, and the CCP encourages this to show the world what Chinese engineers are capable of, and tank the Anthropic/OpenAI valuation bubble as a desirable side effect.
I was not trying to make that kind of argument, but rather a geopolitical one.
Retaining world-class talent and home-growing industries is no small feat. In Europe, we have been struggling with this, and I am not even entirely sure why.
A lot of world-class talent do not want to pay 50-60% taxes, so they move somewhere else. Not everyone, I'm just saying, it was a genuine consideration for me.