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by Saline9515 1 day ago
Good luck when the last non-Chinese frontier labs will have closed and the CCP will ask to stop sharing models open source.
5 comments

We'll never have fewer open-weight models than exist now. They won't suddenly disappear when labs stop publishing new ones. In fact, people will keep improving them and will keep distilling new frontier models into existing open-weight models.
Then non-Chinese labs can reopen, or they could offer lower prices right now not waiting for this event.

But imagine if Chinese labs would lose. Then there will be no open models, and the prices for closed models would be raised to the maximum.

My conspiracy theory is that this is the new space race, and the CCP encourages this to show the world what Chinese engineers are capable of, and tank the Anthropic/OpenAI valuation bubble as a desirable side effect.
Half of the engineers at OAI and Anthropic are Asian, I don't think China does all these for signaling.
I was not trying to make that kind of argument, but rather a geopolitical one.

Retaining world-class talent and home-growing industries is no small feat. In Europe, we have been struggling with this, and I am not even entirely sure why.

A lot of world-class talent do not want to pay 50-60% taxes, so they move somewhere else. Not everyone, I'm just saying, it was a genuine consideration for me.
What an odd thing to say
Oh no, 1kkk market country with top-tier research labs developing its own technology, must be evil!
Well, no, they're not aligned with our interests therefore we're concerned with their mastery here. You have the clause the wrong way around.
As opposed to closed source American models where the federal government threatens your livelihood unless you build data centers to extend pax silica?
This will never happen btw.