Burning the weights into silicon would be many orders of magnitude increase, not just 10x. It's kind of crazy that this hockey stick the AI hype bros talk about seems more and more every day like it might be real
https://taalas.com/ has done it already for a wildly obsolete model. 14000 tokens per second.
https://chatjimmy.ai/ is their interactive. Tiny context, very dumb, but absurdly fast. Imagine this as a tool call for claude code for trivial changes - the tool call from the harness takes longer than the execution.
I just tried it too and 14,098 tokens in .05 seconds, I barely blinked and it was done. There was no typing at all appearing on the screen. It just showed up.
Sure enough. I just tested it in incognito, and it is blank. I thought it would work because I wasn't logged in to Jimmy AI. It still shows for me though in my regular session so they must just have a cookie that makes it stick.
Here's a copy and paste prompt if somebody wants to just test it real quick to see what I saw:
Write a story about the fastest monkey who ever lived, his name is Jimmy and he is an AI superbot monkey that is part cyborg primate. He can travel through time and is psychic.
Speed is the metric I'm currently most interested in. The models are smart enough.
Once speed significantly increases I think we're going to see some interesting downstream effects. The three things I currently spend the most time waiting on are LLM API requests, Rust compile times, and nix derivations. As AI latency approaches zero I think we're going to start taking a hard look at whether slow-compiling languages are adding enough value over Golang, Typescript, or even dynamic languages to be worth the slowdown.
Yeah. A model smarter than Fable by, say, 50 human IQ point equivalents, running in some kind of autoregressive process continously on whatever goals you put into the loop, on baked silicon, would be maybe my low end for the potential in the relatively near future.
Holy crap, I was not prepared for how fast it responded. I just wrote "Just wanted to see how fast you are! Can you write me a quick story about a tiger who lives inside a block of cheese the size of a house?"
The magic is in the fact that they essentially have an ASIC llm device. There is no other trickery. The problem they will face is that it is actually locked in silicon, so upgrading models will be difficult, and likely require new hardware each time.
At some point I imagine you’d add a software layer on top that holds more current training and can be called as needed trading off for slower responses. There’s already work out there splitting models across networks. You could have the base on silicon, some stuff in memory on the machine, and another frontier tool in the cloud.
Taalas actually already support LoRA, basically doing exactly what you say.
The other thing that I think is really interesting about all of this, is that LLMs are already perforce behind the times with their knowledge cutoff, so adding an additional ~3 months for bake into silicon isn't such a huge deal, I think, for the ~10x more efficient and faster you get.
There are already studies proving that a "stupid" model with a good harness + tool calling will outperform a "smart" model.
Things like this give me hope for a system that can be fully local and private, but also with the ability to be almost infinitely extendable with tools.
Is the size of the ASIC limiting factor or can they infinitely tensor parallelize? If thats possible then it would make it only a matter of economy of scale, there are good enough models already for people to invest in that kind of platform
I pasted and instantly hit enter on this prompt: "I generated a filter set using REW v5.31.3 using real-world sweep tone measurements from the room I'm listening in . How can I use it as my MacOS output equalizer so that my spotify music is adjusted for this room and speakers"
and it gave a very reasonable answer in non-perceptible time.
idk if you're still actually looking for a solution (I got nerdsniped heh), but I found a seamless way to have it locked into the speakers + room, instead of a specific source/software, is using an iLoud subwoofer that routes to any speaker setup and has room correction + EQ that lives on the sub.
Isn't it crazy that we can send a message, across the world near instantaneously and have a coherent reply, generated by a computer, sent back to your screen, in under 500ms in most circumstances.
I find myself getting caught up in the sheer speed of modern computing and networking. The fact I can play an online game with 10 other people is just insane.
I got into Rust development via LLM last year, and being able to do things budgeted in nanoseconds is a heady feeling indeed. Real time video and audio analysis? Totally doable, plenty of time budget. 16.6ms is a long time, it turns out.
For what its worth the frontier lab models can surely be a lot faster if they wanted them to be but theyre supply constrained so theyre doing stuff like multi tenancy. Since you cant self host them no one outside the labs really knows speed as a solo tenant
You can kind of get a sense by running these things at home - I'm currently running Laguna. One interesting thing is that per stream doesn't actually slow down that much with multiple concurrents, because the bottleneck remains the memory bandwidth until pretty significant request depths, and then eventually you hit the GPU's limits. It's one of the big forces that pushes for centralization in this stuff, the fixed costs to run one are huge, the marginal costs of additional tenants, relatively small.
Fully interactive games where you can talk to every NPC by text or voice and have an LLM drive the story (with your own meta prompts to guide it, if you so wish). Maybe even have them generate assets on the fly too.
I’m still trying to figure out coding agents. I can’t even begin to imagine the things it would enable. Even the most mundane ideas like LLMs-in-HiFreq-trading have huge implications.
RSI will be models better than Fable running faster than this, you won't even need a human in the loop to figure out what to do. The high level goal will be accomplished better than the human in an instant
Wow! Responded essentially instantaneously to my prompt:
"I need a short, 4000 word essay on the the difference between star wars and Star Trek universes from the perspective of graduate level scientific work."
> It seems China is already able to do DUV a lot sooner than others expected.
That's the media and in particular US KOLs of all sorts driving the wrong impression of China and other places. China and many other places for example have fast public transport that the US doesn't and can't even imagine today. They're not behind.
China's DUV still isn't that production grade (mass produce-able) so don't get that hyped up the wrong way (in a different direction).
The whole China-is-behind with tech and in particular semi wasn't that they can't. The truth is they spent decades in internal politics and corruption. That all got solved with the bans, so thank the bans! Jensen even said the bans were bad.
Imagine the price of a $9 million NVL72 dropped to about $100, used 4 orders of magnitude less power, was the size of ARM cpu, be bundled with pretty much any electronic device, and ran as fast a frontier AI is today.
That's about how disrupting DSPs were to the industries they arose out of (over a very long time frame).
I can't speak for all cases, but the AI space is seeing improvements month by month, so it is beneficial to wait until it settles (a model becomes the standard in intelligence/price) before designing and mass producing an "LLM ASIC" of said model.
The big AI labs won't do that unless they are forced to, as they want you to spend more money on the big, expensive, frontier models (so they can live up to their valuation), so it's more likely that you will see this on smaller open weights models.
My understanding is that for FPGA the issue is either it eats all your gates on internal memory if you interleave, or it takes forever to load everything between the SRAM on the board and the actual FPGA component over a bus, last time I looked into it.
https://chatjimmy.ai/ is their interactive. Tiny context, very dumb, but absurdly fast. Imagine this as a tool call for claude code for trivial changes - the tool call from the harness takes longer than the execution.