[verdverm]

I find it unlikely to be a duoply of hegemony for long, some countries to watch are Germany, Japan, India, Nigeria, and Brazil. You could broaden the geography to continents were I expect major players to emerge on each.

We are only a few decades since the "end of history" and much has changed. What do things look like beyond 2050?

[matheusmoreira]

> Brazil

Brazil is basically the world's soy farm. It's at least half a century behind the times. I still have no idea how it managed to insert itself into the BRICS economic block. The notion that it's on the same level as China, India or Russia is just comical.

[verdverm]

> Brazil is basically the world's soy farm

To reduce a culture and country like this comes off as bigotry

In example, Brazil has the #3 airplane producer in the world

Or consider why the US is doing all it can to prevent their payment system from becoming widely used?

I was intentional about putting the perspective in the future over today as the poles of the world are evolving

[matheusmoreira]

It's my culture and my country.

All of the small miracles you listed happened in spite of the culture, not because of it. It's also not a coincidence that both are deeply linked to the most successful brazilian enterprise: the brazilian government.

I'm trying to avoid getting too deep in these Brazil tangents so I'm gonna leave it at that. Anyone who cares enough to know what I think about the subject can just look up my comment history.

[verdverm]

thank you for sharing your lived experience

Timothy Snyder, in On Tyranny, has a chapter about staying in touch with friends from other countries, and while we are not friends, this thread is in that spirit and I have learned things from you, so thank you!

[owebmaster]

OP is one of many Brazilians that hates Brazil, which ironically is the reason why the country historically can't grow to its full potential

[Der_Einzige]

A lot of AI researchers were just in Brazil due to ICLR. A number of them got robbed in broad daylight in this supposedly nice part of Rio. I think the assesment of Brazil is accurate.

[matheusmoreira]

Not accurate, since it doesn't explain the normalized violence you observed. I was trying to be nice.

This thread is more like it:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45731174

[verdverm]

s/bigotry/fatalism/ ? (in the same sense of colloquial usage with Russians)