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by vintagedave 5 days ago
The increases in AI capabilities are impressive, but I imagine the singularity as giving:

* AGI

* Breakthroughs in physics (of the FTL kind, or something equally impressive)

* Unlimited power and food for the earth

GPT-5.6 is not quite there, nor do we see we are getting there, yet.

2 comments

We are already seeing math problems being solved by AI on a weekly basis now. Maybe at some point a breakthrough in math will cause a breakthrough in physics?

It makes me wonder if the model is the limit here or if it's the harness: e.g. give GPT 5.6 or Fable a team of 20 people that can easily interact with the real world and let it do whatever in order to "make a breakthrough" in physics; do you think it would manage to?

In a very real sense, food was solved by the first two industrial revolutions, which between them supplied enough artificial muscle power to move most of us out of farming, and enough understanding of biology to bring us industrial-scale fertilisers.

We're living through yet another power revolution today, between renewables and batteries (and while I won't count it until it's commercialised, we've gone from fusion being decades away to years away).

FTL… well, like most nerds I've got a soft spot for the Alcubierre drive and the various follow-up papers. But for now, sure, I'd assume by default that any news headline I see about someone making even a sub-light 1 µc version (I guess 1 µc would be sub-sonic, too) to be either an AI hallucination or something like The Onion.