[cheschire]

Random internet person says something that nobody is talking about. Gemini says random internet person is exaggerating the severity on most points.

I guess I’ll wait and see if someone provides citations because this feels like a nothing burger.

[anigbrowl]

We are talking about this, because we're discussing a model of oil price vs availability which includes modeling of national oil reserves. I'm pointing out that the popularly understood amount of US reserve levels somewhat overestimates the available cushion, and provided two different and easily verifiable reasons for considering it to be smaller than the headline number. I also specified that I was oversimplifying for the sake of brevity. I also indicated which assumptions and approximations were inputs in my heuristic.

You could easily ask Gemini to critically appraise each of these steps and get the detail you feel you're lacking; I know this because I employed it over the last few months to research this topic, but did so in piecewise fashion. Apparently you opted for the easier 'ctrl-V is this true' type of inquiry, which reflected your natural skepticism back toward you.

[cheschire]

What you also provided was conjecture based on… oh right you didn’t provide what it’s based on. Citation needed.

What I meant with nobody talking about it was that outside of your post your bullet points aren’t being brought up in any reliable sources.

[anigbrowl]

Consider the possibility that this is a failure of the business press rather than on my part. I linked to the recent GAO report on the physical state of the SPR facilities and infrastructure elsewhere in the thread. You might also find this trucking industry overview of the fuel supply situation illuminating. I leave it to you to dig around in the Department of Energy's website until you find the (obscure) tracking data for sour vs sweet stocks and integrate with other information, from storage chamber maintenance issues to anomalous outcomes in recent commodity loan offerings.

https://tanktransport.com/2026/07/strategic-petroleum-reserv... https://www.plainview-energy.com/p/us-spr-deep-dive-part-iv-...

[tclancy]

I get what you’re getting at, but do you honestly expect mainstream press to have a story on the technical details of oil production?

[lanstin]

Kind of? It is of central importance at this time.

[cheschire]

There was a time...

[tclancy]

This was never a thing.

[etdznots]

Grok, please check if this comment is right