[alephnerd]

From a Defense perspective, it's acceptable if multiple ODC fails and you have to re-launch another one. This is why these are being treated as part of a mesh. These aren't supposed to be a commercial DC and are intended to be a mesh of multiple racks in orbit.

The fact that the US, China, Russia, and India have already deployed ASATs means a Kessler effect if a question of when and not if.

[laughing_man]

The Russians put the first ASats up in the '70s. Their existence doesn't require use.

[alephnerd]

The difference is India and China had an orbital near-miss in 2024 [0] and both India and China now field ASATs.

It's a matter of time before Japan, SK, Iran, Israel, UAE, KSA, etc build similar capabilities.

[0] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-22/india-pla...