Economics will dictate that working bespoke on coding will simply not be profitable anymore. Great article but there is no stopping this trend at this rate.
That is, assuming you believe "vibe coding" is actually more efficient than hand-coding. If your users simply accept bugs that can't be fixed because doing so would lead to a day-long discussion with your AI, then it is true. Human language is one of the worst ways to describe software.
I would guess that most HN users are employees. By far the largest dictator of your day to day life is your employer. Sentences such as this one from the article
"Hopefully, many developers will slowly rediscover their love for programming when they can apply it to problems that actually interest and challenge them"
Simply to not understand this dynamic. The economics will dictate what will happen and NOT much else.
If things were based on pure economics in a vacuum, there would be no good SF based tech jobs. There'd be middling salaries for developers across the country, and probably actually the bulk of the work would actually happen in say latvia or laos. Instead, we have weird layers of cultural assumptions that keep many of these jobs onshored to the bay area in particular, for no reason at all really. Even with the AI tidal wave, companies still want butts in seats in SF for some reason.
I'm not saying it's economics in a vacuum. I'm suggesting that it is LARGELY economics.
> There'd be middling salaries for developers across the country, and probably actually the bulk of the work would actually happen in say latvia or laos
Yes that's what happened and it's called offshoring. If you're in the US or Europe it happened to manufacturing too. It's in China for economic reasons. That doesn't mean there isn't any manufacturing going on in your country.