[piguin]

It will obviously be a large part of the economy like online shopping is today. The companies that built up a lot of debt to be brand names in online shopping primarily went bankrupt because new companies had no debt (and perhaps no negative sentiment from early customer experiences.)

[itkovian_]

the difference is all the current capex is going to durable, hard to get physical assets + things like PPAs. In your online shopping analogy, the hyperscalars are acting like Amazon in 1998

[piguin]

What destroyed hardware manufacturers after the first bubble burst was all the old but overpowered server hardware ending up in resale after bankruptcies. Hard to get hardware is a bad investment that is also potentially obsolete after new optimizations make the next generation much more efficient. The companies that think their individual optimizations are going to outpace industry wide optimization are delusional, historically speaking.

[Imustaskforhelp]

> the hyperscalars are acting like Amazon in 1998

I hope you remember furniture.com, pets.com, webvan.com, kozmo.com and many others.

Amazon.com (during 1998) in some sense is the exception, not the norm from the bloodbath in stock markets during the dot com bubble.

(I highly recommend the book How the internet happened for more knowledge about things before, during and after the dot com bubble.)