[JumpCrisscross]

> You'd see model progress dramatically slowed if US companies had to compete on distills

We’re already competing on distills—they exist. The question is whether America will actually compete or if it will lean into its populist tendency and cede the market globally to China.

[solenoid0937]

If you want the cost of today's intelligence to go down, distills are fantastic.

If you want AGI to arrive sooner, distills force you to move your compute off the frontier and will necessarily delay it significantly.

It's a question of what you actually want out of the AI race.

[JumpCrisscross]

> If you want AGI to arrive sooner

Yeah, I don’t buy this is happening. I’m open to being wrong. But folks who believe that can put their money where their mouths are in terms for stumping up cash for the training.

> distills force you to move your compute off the frontier

Versus moving it to inference?

[solenoid0937]

I guess I don't know how you can use the latest models and feel that we are not on the verge of some kind of intelligence. Maybe it's your harness, maybe your problems aren't complicated enough. I find it bizarre to outright dismiss the possibility of AGI in this day and age.