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by kibwen 9 days ago
Keeping in mind that Alphabet is the only one of the Mag 7 stocks that has managed to outperform the S&P 500 in 2026.
4 comments

Short term stock price is a popularity machine, not an indicator of value.
Keeping in mind that Jan 1 2026 to Jul 22 2026 is an arbitrary and meaningless time period to analyze.
Are you asserting that there exists a time period to analyze that is not arbitrary and meaningless? If so, which?

The reason why 2026 specifically is interesting is because it wasn't until late December of last year that AI models started to demonstrate particularly interesting capabilities, while we finally got IPO announcements for OpenAI and Anthropic. Assuming that the market works at all, it should be pricing in these events.

> wasn't until late December of last year that AI models started to demonstrate particularly interesting capabilities

What are you referring to here?

If what they're referring to is coding agents, I can say they were pretty crappy as of November last year, and they've come a long way. Much more useful and usable now.
No they haven't. SPY YTD: 9.40%, GOOG YTD: 3.33%

They have (massively) outperformed it in 2025 though.

I'm seeing 8.43% for GOOG.
Not sure where you got 3.33%, looks to me like GOOGL is +9.44% YTD while GOOG is +9.1%.
Might be related to the massive drop this morning. According to yahoo finance, YTD GOOG is +1.81% and GOOGL +2.33%
Amusing how volatile these stocks are. In any case, my intent was not to boost Alphabet but to denounce the overheated state of the tech sector in general, so having the entirety of the Mag 7 fall below the baseline is no skin off my nose.
Apple stock is up 18% in 2026