[AndrewKemendo]

>Because I’ve been told that Fable can do anything

I hear some version of this anecdote constantly

yet despite using all these prompting tools since 2019 I have never once heard a lab or professional say “x model can do anything”

Can you provide me whatever specific source you heard for this?

[coldtea]

>I have never once heard a lab or professional say “x model can do anything”

Yeah, they "merely" say that they're about to break the singularity in a couple of years, that it's too capable to be safe to release, that it's going to take 50% (or all, depening on the day and audience) of programmers out of work, that it's smarter than Nobel prize winners, that their programmers don't write anything themselves anymore, and things to that effect.

[AndrewKemendo]

Who is “they?”

Again… provide me a quote from someone doing this every day that says: “they're about to break the singularity in a couple of years”

The only people saying this stuff are random Internet commenters, breathless reporters and reactionaries.

The only person on record for a statement like this was Geoff Hinton about radiologists and he has since walked back his statement

[coldtea]

SAM ALTMAN: “We are close to creating a genie that can grant any wish.”

https://x.com/TheChiefNerd/status/2081204789371621744

[weakfish]

It’s hyperbolic and intended to generalize the sentiment I perceive from others.

Dario Amodei said in January that he expected software engineers to be replaced [0], so I suppose the quote should be extended to “can do anything… a software engineer can do”

And I think we can all agree that SWE is on the more complex end of all white collar jobs. So, my thinking is that if SWE can hypothetically be replaced, so can many other jobs. Hence, the claim the models can “do anything” intending to capture the majority of white collar work.

This, of course, is if you take their claim at face value - which I certainly do not.

[0] https://www.entrepreneur.com/business-news/ai-ceo-says-softw...

[AndrewKemendo]

So then nobody actually has ever said that and its explicitly hyperbole

So then its misleading in the extreme to say “I’ve been told AI can do anything”

It amplifies hype when people make claims like this by including hyperbolic statements as though they are reflective of the state of the discussion.

[weakfish]

Alright, sure, my bad. I thought it was clear that it was meant tongue in cheek, but I’ll accept it was unclear.

That said, with respect what I clarified, I’m curious your thoughts.

[Kiro]

Code is the killer app for LLMs so software developers are the easiest to replace.

[weakfish]

Code isn’t what the majority of software engineering is.

[Kiro]

Pointless nitpicking that completely missed my point. Software developers are not the hardest to replace, so your presumption that everything else should be easier is wrong.

[weakfish]

Next time, try being polite, it’ll make me way more inclined to engage with you.

If I missed your point it was unintentional. Instead of being rude, try gentle clarification.

But now I’ve lost interest. Have a good day!