[ifwinterco]

It's the bell curve meme every time - very, very often stupid people end up being "wiser" than moderately intelligent people.

Meanwhile the really intelligent people end up with beliefs surprisingly close directionally to the stupid people who've barely thought about an issue, just fleshed out with 100x the detail.

A little knowledge is a dangerous thing

[slopinthebag]

The bellcurve meme is essentially that the people on the left use their intuition, the people in the middle discount intuition for pure rationality, and the people on the right are intelligent enough to understand that their intuition is correct.

[ungovernableCat]

I've seen both variants of this where the midwit is enthusiastic about the impending singularity and where the midwit is saying it's all a bubble.

Everyone's just portraying a strawman of the other side with new formats.

[ifwinterco]

Yes true, I can see that actually.

I feel though that if you picked a random sample of members of the public and asked them about the probability of the singularity you would get blank looks from most people on the left tail even if you explained it.

Whereas if you had the statement "ChatGPT can be useful for some things, but it isn't going to fundamentally change the world" you would get a lot of people on both tails agreeing and the people who disagreed would be clustered in the middle.

Maybe that's just my bias speaking though and actually I'm the midwit