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by seanmcdirmid 10 days ago
Greenspan commission wasn’t a prediction. They used a previous pay as you go model that was simply broke at that time (and had been for awhile$, leading to the current pay for the future model. They then made predictions that the new system would be solvent way past 2033.
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See my more complete history here:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48961349