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by bradleyjg 10 days ago
Yes, the finger pointing can and does go in many directions. Meanwhile the observed pattern is the boomers (actual boomers) get the golden path and every other generation doesn’t. Maybe they were uniquely virtuous and wise.

Strongly doubt the xennials will be as rich in twenty five years as 70 year olds are now.

1 comments

I'd definitely take the other side of that bet. Xennials are significantly richer today than boomers were 25 years ago, generally own their house and have a 401K or similar.

Xennials have benefitted from the same forces that made the boomers rich. They're not young adults.

Xennials were at prime house buying age when houses were really cheap after the 2008 housing crash.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Case-Shiller_index#/media/File...

If you bought at exactly the right second of the crash, houses were where they were at the peak of the late 80s bubble.

Mortgage rates in the late 80s were well over double what they were post-crash. For a 25 year mortgage, twice the mortgage rate means about double the payments.
That exact dynamic—-sharply appreciating house price, falling interest rates, no prepayment penalty—-allowed them to use the homes as an infinite piggy bank. Very convenient.
And xennials had access to same dynamic. Xennials houses were more expensive than boomer houses, but they were also much larger and financed more cheaply. Once you make those two adjustments, those who bought their house around the turn of the millennium were the ones who got the most value in terms of house payment as fraction of income, and who experienced the most appreciation the most quickly. And in 2000, it was Gen-X buying their first home, not boomers. (a very brief moment post-crash was even better).

It's young adults that are getting screwed. Xennials are no longer young adults.

P.S. I bought my first house in 2001 at the age of 28. In hindsight I got super lucky and timed it perfectly. I bought it the month I paid off my student loans, which took me ~4 years of accelerated payments.