[torginus]

There has recently been a post about the Cyberpunk genre here on HN. I find the parallels between that and the AGI hype noteworthy. Authors in the 80s imagined a dark and dystopian future, driven mainly by the growth of computer technology.

But if we compare what what was described in Neuromancer, vs how personal computing and the internet affected the world, we see basically very little overlap.

AGI Doomerism likewise has no basis in reality considering what LLMs have been shown to be capable of. Not saying they wont be transformative in some way or isnt already, but essentially the way these AGI prophets predicted things will go down will be completely inaccurate save for the vaguest tems (something bad will happen at some point, and AI will be involved)