[nikau]

So really its all conjecture unless an actual project plan is written up with supply chain sources, and the plan is kept up to date with inventory of items scrapped vs placed in storage and capacity from current importers & manufacturers.

[defrost]

A lot of things could happen, sure.

One thing that I, personally, am not overly concerned about would be a long lasting critical shortage of ferromanganese production ability in Australia.

If the demand / desire is there then we have the resources and in-country skills to step up and make it happen.

We are, as a country, aiming too low on what we can do with mineral resources and charging other countries / non-Australian companies far too little for the privilege of extracting our "wealth" / assets and flogging them on overseas.

[nikau]

Unfortunately too many Australians are swayed by scare campaigns and vote against their own interest.

The mining super profits tax, franking credits, and similar failed reforms benefited only the top 1% of 1% of Australians, yet people voted against them.

Hopefully the recent negative gearing and trust changes stick.