[thoughtpeddler]

I'll grant that the scaling laws have held so far, and that the bitter lesson is yet to be proven wrong. However, that doesn't exclude the possibility that the current architecture's S-curve will flatten, and a new one will replace it, which was Siegel's point. At greater layers of abstraction, what is observed is a raw capabilities/intelligence increase, but what form it takes is subject to change. We'll see where it all goes, the only way out is through.