[superfrank]

I don't really believe the idea that there's some grand plan by the Chinese government to use their AI labs to undermine the US companies. Maybe now it's more of a reality, but I don't believe it was there from the start.

That said, if were going down the rabbit hole of saying that the Chinese labs are now part of a larger geo political strategy by the Chinese government, then I think Taiwan is part of the equation. If the frontier models require the best chips and those are mainly coming out of Taiwan then it's hard to imagine a world where the US allows China to make a move on Taiwan without a fight. If frontier level models can be run on chips being made elsewhere, then Taiwan becomes less important geopolitically. I don't think we'll ever get to a world where the US is just like, "Fine China. You do what you want.", but China has to assume that there will be a lot less resistance from the US is Taiwan isn't such a key component in the AI race.