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by tedggh 12 days ago
I think LLMs, with only a few exceptions, have mostly created the illusion of value. It’s undeniable I can write code, troubleshoot and document much faster than in the pre LLM era, but putting a dollar value to that it’s not particularly easy. One group of people being 100x faster at one task doesn’t mean the organization as a whole runs at 100x the speed, in fact in most cases where the bottle neck is somewhere else, the productivity gains of the 100x group have little to no impact, or even a negative impact in some cases due to token overspending.
2 comments

Yup. We're just all re-learning Amdahl's Law.
How about sole proprietors?
that would be interesting to see with a large longitudinal study

any new technology also introduces new bottlenecks, so i wonder if its a 2 steps forwards 1 step backwards (or vice versa) situation (e.g llm summarized my email conversation to be more clear but left out a key detail; now i have to rework my proposal and i lost 1 week of income etc)

Resnet’s solve the regression problem.