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by reissbaker 12 days ago
I would assume the opposite is true — with an open-weight Fable-class model, doesn't demand for GPUs go up? Plenty of companies can now look at what Anthropic is offering — high per token costs for a very intelligent model — and do the math, and at some point it makes sense to just rent the GPU yourself and run Kimi on it if you get similar intelligence without paying Anthropic's margins (albeit with high upfront capital cost).

This would drive down Anthropic's margins, but drive up demand for datacenter and GPU capacity. It's not that people would be using fewer GPUs, they'd just shift demand from high priced token vendors to direct GPU rental, which benefits datacenter companies while hurting Anthropic.

1 comments

Its a margins game. If its too cheap to run, its not worth the investment.
The cost to run Kimi is the cost of the GPUs (+ overhead of hiring humans for now to manage it). Kimi K3 does not change the demand curve for LLMs, it only changes the possible suppliers — and they're all competing for the same supply-constrained resource, which is GPUs in datacenters. Regardless of who is serving the model, or how, they're going to need to rent or buy GPUs in datacenters. Hence: this is great for datacenters.
That makes no sense, Terry.