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by rjrjrjrj 12 days ago
> 5.5 per 100,000 is still extremely rare

About 20% of all deaths in that age range. Dying from any cause at that age is extremely rare.

> largely because of one demographic subset that is itself concentrated across a few small areas

eg the geographically adjacent and culturally/ethnically indistinguishable states of Mississippi, New Mexico, Alaska, Alabama, and Wyoming? https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/state-stats/deaths/firearms.html

1 comments

Keep in mind, the data you just linked is all firearm deaths, not just firearm homicides, and that a majority of all firearm deaths in the USA (over 60%) are suicides, not homicides or accidents.

What you're seeing in Alaska and Wyoming and New Mexico is overwhelmingly suicides correlated with social isolation (Alaska, Wyoming), high rates of poverty (New Mexico), and SAD (Alaska), not an epidemic of violent shootings.

The correlation coefficient between gun ownership and firearm homicides at a state level is 0.22.

The correlation coefficient between gun ownership and firearm suicide at a state level 0.84.

Note that Illinois (Chicago) and Maryland (Baltimore) both have above-average firearm homicide with below average firearm ownership, while Idaho and Maine have above average firearm ownership and significantly below-average firearm homicide.

The drivers of homicide are overwhelmingly urban violence, poverty, and illicit markets, not the firearms themselves.

> Keep in mind, the data you just linked is all firearm deaths, not just firearm homicides

Yes. My earlier comment was "often from a gun"