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by thegrim33 14 days ago
Spoiler: The plan is .. add massive regulation, but only to the US, don't affect other countries developing it in any way other than "setting a good standard that'll hopefully influence them". Seems like an airtight plan.
2 comments

If the USA takes up his suggestions, it will have an incentive to work on international frameworks and treaties with competing nations to make the regulation global.
It won't happen internationally, many countries and especially China don't want to hobble their own models.
China is already considering similar controls, immediately following Fable shenanigans. You'd be surprised how easily policies can spread to different countries, being mirrored for the sake of mirroring. Anyone who can influence domestic policy can influence the course for the entire world to an extent.
Slowing down helps China catch up though. I'm also not sure that the CCP is really the most enthusiastic supporter of unlimited access to arbitrarily powerful LLMs
This is literally what happened with DMCA and digital trade agreements in the 90s/2000s. The US "suggested" other countries create their own equal laws (by threatening them with tariffs if they didn't).

The threats worked up until current Big Boss decided to tariff everyone anyway, on Liberation Day.

Not only is there now no incentive for other countries to follow suite - there is now strong incentive for other countries to distance themselves from US trade. Recent history has made that abundantly clear.

There won't be any kind of international framework, because by now countries have learned that the US' word is pretty much worthless, similar to Russia's. They now know from experience, US-ratified treaties will only be honored if they feel like it on a particular day. If it's inconvenient, it will simply be ignored.

You'd have major protests in most large economies if they deliberately put themselves under the boot again. Even in "friendly" countries the US is disliked enough to be effectively considered a hostile country. E.g. in Germany, there is large public support to finally get the US bases closed and the soldiers removed.

Lots of things changed in the last years. And international major treaties being widely ratified just because the US asks for it is no longer a thing, at all.

A country that threatens to annex parts of your territory is not a friend, full stop.

Wish you were wrong… The trust in U.S. as the world’s policeman has eroded dramatically.
This in my view was always manufactured. Consider the wars in the past 50 years.

Although I imagine you have a point: American police do perhaps act this way.

Oh come on. Look at the government of the USA.
lol - because that's usually how it happens?
That's called the carrot

The beauty of the United States' global hegemony is that it also has lots of sticks

Those sticks look less effective today. The hegemony is in recession as the rest of the world smiles, pays omage to dear leader as needed, and works to decouple in the background.
Less and less every day.

Funny thing about beating people with sticks (or even threatening to) is they tend to want to get out of way and stay away from you.

Agreed!
Sufficient sticks to get China to agree to the same rules? Overseen by whom?
What hegemony are you speaking of? The kind that can consistently keep a straight open?
Dude, their mighty navy can't even get the Strait open.