[jsnell]

Your theory is pretty silly. If the outcome is doom, nobody cares whether you were right, because humans are dead or irrelevant. The asymmetry in the reward function isn't there.

In general the rewards for public doomerism seem low, except if you think being public about it can shift the outcomes.

[piloto_ciego]

Look up negativity bias and get back to me.

People so ascribe “doooooom” to things that actually aren’t doom but instead are “bad” - but everything is hyperbolic now