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by 0xDEAFBEAD 18 days ago
Imagine observing powered flight for the first time and saying: "This is religious fervor folks. I remember the mythological story of Icarus from when I was younger. Key word, mythological."

The existence of mythology describing Scenario X is not a valid argument against the plausibility of Scenario X.

If we can acknowledge the possibility of nuclear doomsday without running an RCT of sample size 100 Earths, 50 of which undergo nuclear Armageddon, to verify that nuclear holocaust indeed a real phenomenon... then we can do the same for AI. Understand the arguments being made instead of engaging in these guilt-by-association arguments.

Modern AI capabilities are already mind-boggling by the standards of 20 years ago. We should at least prepare for the possibility that trends continue on the current trajectory.