[jazz9k]

I suppose if getting bombed by the US, no deal, and more oil exports from the US in history, means 'in control of the war'

[tim-tday]

Bombing them won’t open the strait of Hormuz which is what trump needs. It’s a classic asymmetrical warfare situation. It takes minimal command infrastructure to keep it closed. (Iran has already been decapitated) He very much wants to open it and they can demand anything they want.

[enragebait]

Exports from the US is not a win. It’s like looting our piggybank to subsidize the deficit.

[dotcoma]

They can certainly endure it until November. Can Trump?

[0cf8612b2e1e]

Prior to the temporary blockade cessation, oil execs were saying we could hit tank/operational bottoms in mid/late July. The reprieve has probably pushed that out a few weeks, but oil supply will vanish before November.

[dotcoma]

And Trump would badly lose the mid-term elections.