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by lowbloodsugar 22 days ago
This is only true if it plateaus. What you are saying is “I don’t think LLMs will achieve superintelligence.” Which is a fine opinion to have, but it’s an opinion.
1 comments

once, if ever, the plateauing happens. Until then there is going to be this gap.

In other words, superintelligence often referred to as AGI might either be months away or just VC-Money induced cult-speak many fall victim to.

It doesn’t matter because the only certainty is that it’s not here now, and neither tomorrow etc.

To me it looks like they've been pretty plateaued for a good while already? Sure they do marginally better on benchmarks or whatever, but to me as a user there's really not much difference between chatgpt today and chatgpt a couple years ago. Main difference is just added capabilities like web search, image recognition etc.

For coding you still need to be in control if you want a good result.

AGI is human level intelligence. superintelligence is ASI