Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by throwaway85825 25 days ago
The school used to be a military base office. Acting on stale data is common for both humans and ML models.
1 comments

And a wall between the two was built a decade ago. Considering it was hit on day one, obviously it was considered an important target, which makes it inexcusable that nobody checked it in a decade.

https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/4314de...

A navy base on the contested straight of hormuz is always going to be a priority target. Militaries have pre existing contingency plans. Typically military bases don't move very fast.
The Pentagon's OWN Satellite imagery confirmed the school was walled off, painted brightly, had children daily and featured a play area by 2016. If >10 years aren't sufficient to update a target list for a bombing, then I don't know what to say.
A decade to realise that a military base has been resized and there is an obvious school on what used to be a part of the same property isn't fast.
From recent Bloomberg report:

>An analyst's missed remarks and US intelligence systems that weren’t connected to one another are among the missteps that investigators have surfaced while probing the cause of a missile strike on an Iranian school that killed an estimated 120 children.

>Years before the US attacked Iran in Feb, an intel analyst examining information about potential future strike targets in Iran noticed changes at a site the US had previously characterized as a man IRGC naval facility in Minab, Iran. It was, in fact, now an elementary school.

>The analyst remarked on changes at the site in a digital intelligence tool, but that tool wasn’t linked up to the official intelligence database that the US uses to develop strike targets and the information was never conveyed to military commanders, acc to people familiar.

>The analyst’s remarks, which one of the people sd were submitted in 2019, were never heeded, and the same building was reviewed multiple more times over the following years without anyone updating the targeting database. A probe into these and other issues has yet to be released.

https://x.com/KatrinaManson/status/2070624628465103340

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2026-06-26/an-analys...

"isn't fast" is basically how you'd sum up the U.S. military in a nutshell.

So much of what it is in the past 3 decades is coasting off its Cold War legacy.

Target lists for an Iran scenario should absolutely have been updated before use for combat, but if it turned out they had not been substantively reviewed ab initio in a decade, I'd absolutely believe it.

It's not like iran has a public list of military facilities and what theyre used for.