[IshKebab]

My guess at what's happening is that people are mostly using the tools on low impact or speculative projects. Notice that he said he wouldn't have attempted it without AI.

That's been my experience too. I had an idea that I didn't need so I hadn't bothered doing it, but AI made it easier to just have a go. I suspect people aren't using AI as much on their main profit-making projects (which also are going to be bigger, more complex and not greenfield - which is all harder for AI).

Also give it a chance - as you said "good" models have only been available very recently and you wouldn't expect everyone to start using them instantly.

[ImprobableTruth]

Sure, but "10x faster, but only applies on small greenfield, throwaway projects" is a major caveat. In fact, there's a good chance this doesn't disprove the original blog post, you could be way faster on small projects but slower on 'real' projects.

>Also give it a chance - as you said "good" models have only been available very recently and you wouldn't expect everyone to start using them instantly.

But I'm not expecting everyone to have built something like that, but surely among millions of users someone should have, especially the people proclaiming insane productivity gains? There are no super impressive open source projects done using AI and all the companies boasting about how all their code is AI written now don't show much improvement either.