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by hackrmn 28 days ago
These were my thoughts more or less, but how many Chens does the world's largest software company need to at least maintain the now "legacy" code before they find a way not to need them any longer. Maybe they're betting on large language models having trained on the cumulative output of experts like Chen, but I think that's fit for contingency situations -- maintaining existing code and making sure it doesn't break the bottom-line -- but for all the praise of AI I have my doubts Microsoft are crazy enough to just leave it to AI to develop Windows containing hundreds of thousands of SLOC of the kind only Chen can effectively debug.

As for 25 year olds -- I am sure there will always be those around, people have been pretty consistently varied in their pursuits, but it going to be so niche they'll be like COBOL/FORTRAN developers hired by the banks today -- far and in between and paid so handsomely they can pick and choose consultancy any day of the week anywhere in the world. So I guess good for them, but again -- can Microsoft depend on that form of provision of labour they still need (and will need for a few years ahead at least)?