[illiac786]

I think the uncomfortable debate is not about skill atrophy as a general phenomenon (it’s happening anyway, doesn’t matter how much we debate it) but rather, _which_ skills are atrophying and if these skills are now superfluous/worthless or not.

If you don’t use a skill, it’s like a gene a species doesn’t need anymore, it will atrophy.

Is that bad and if yes, why? Skill atrophy is not intrinsically bad. I don’t know how to make tinted glas for church windows and I will never learn it because there are machines doing it now.

But I would for example think that critical thinking would be a catastrophic skill atrophy. As far as I know, there is no proven link though (and one would have to define what is “critical thinking” in the first place). Writing assembler without any autocomplete, I’m not so sure it’s such a problematic skill atrophy.

[simondotau]

One could argue that the cumulative atrophy of skill around writing CPU assembly has been problematic in some respects, but it’s also completely unreasonable to lament what we’ve gained in return.

As far as I’m concerned, so long as we can be happy with AI we can run locally, AI is no different to the rise of scripting languages or the pocket calculator. It’s only problematic if the calculator is rented to you as a service.

[pishpash]

Hence only let your skill atrophy to the extent where if all you had were your local laptop you can still be competent. Relying on paid subscription services for your skill is a fool's errand.

[techpression]

It’s not one single skill being lost, it’s about many and how they interact.

I just did a big refactor with opus, it went ok, some bugs. The normal stuff. One of the bugs was in a part of the code no longer needed, which Opus had just filled with comments more or less. Asking it fix the bug worked, but then I really looked at the code and realized just that, this is pointless now.

I’ve only been coding for 20+ years so I might be more susceptible than the author, but I’m quite terrified about losing skills in writing code, but also designing good structure, coherency and system overview. These are the things people claim you need more of with LLMs, but is what you outsource the most, even if you think you are describing it in detail.

We are all collectively growing the skill of complacency and laziness though, and those are not great ”skills” to have. And I’m just as guilty as anyone.

[DanielHB]

Since compilers became a thing Assembly language knowledge atrophied[1] across the workforce.

Since automatic memory management became a thing memory management and pointers knowledge atrophied[1] across the workforce (although not nearly to the same degree).

I think the pattern here is that compilers almost always output better machine code than humans, automatic memory management doesn't output better machine code than skilled humans can very (especially with modern languages that give you a lot build-time safety checks).

And even then, there is still demand for assembly knowledge in the workforce, it is just very niche.

I don't think LLMs will ever be good enough to "almost always" output better code than humans. But, like automatic memory management, it will likely make some types of programming more niche.

The key thing here is that compilers are deterministic, deterministic tools have way less variance in output quality. Automatic memory management is not as deterministic as a compiler because it happens at runtime. LLMs output build-time code, but the can be drastically different if I sneeze too hard.

[1]: as in % of the workforce, not absolute numbers. Hard to get exact figures on this, but I think we have more experienced people actively using Assembly today than we had before compilers became the default (late 80s). We probably have more active C/C++ programmers today than before Java became popular (early 2000s).